• Military expert Franz-Stefan Gady stated that the focus of fighting remains in eastern Ukraine, in Donbas, where Russia is trying to encircle the cities of Sloviansk and Kramatorsk.
  • Russian forces have not achieved the expected breakthrough, partly due to Ukrainian superiority in unmanned warfare, including drones that can strike targets 30 to 200 km behind the front line.
  • Russian losses are high and exceed recruitment rates, weakening their offensive capabilities.
  • Ukrainian forces are tired, but morale remains high despite personnel shortages and inability to rotate.
  • Fighting is mostly between unmanned systems, with small infantry groups trying to infiltrate enemy territory, without a clear front line.