• Military analyst Marinko Ogorec commented on the ceasefire between the US and Iran, noting Trump’s bombastic style and that secret diplomacy continues negotiations.
  • Trump stated that the ceasefire is ‘incredibly weak’ and has only a one percent chance of survival.
  • Ogorec believes that a continuation of the conflict could involve intensive bombing of Iranian infrastructure, but a ground operation is unlikely due to high risk.
  • Iran used the ceasefire to replenish its arsenal, including strategic missiles, with support from Russia and China.
  • The Strait of Hormuz remains a key Iranian advantage that is difficult to neutralize militarily.
  • According to the Wall Street Journal, the UAE carried out attacks on Iranian territory, directly involving themselves in the conflict.

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