• According to the Russian constitution, Putin’s presidential term limit expires in 2036, and inaugurations are traditionally held on May 7.
  • A leaked assessment by a European intelligence agency states that Putin is concerned about a possible conspiracy by members of the Russian political elite who could overthrow or kill him with drones.
  • The Kremlin has increased security measures, including banning officials from using internet-connected phones, and Putin has been staying in bunkers for weeks.
  • After the killing of Iran’s supreme leader, Russia shut down mobile internet in Moscow due to fear of tracking via CCTV cameras.
  • Sergei Shoigu, former defense minister, is linked to a coup risk as he retains significant influence within the military leadership.
  • Ruslan Tsalikov, former deputy defense minister and close Shoigu associate, was arrested on corruption charges, which could be a warning to Shoigu.